Milwaukee
W-L: ( 9-14) PR = 93.9695Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 5-15 214 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 3- 5 215 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 7-21 220 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 3- 1 221 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 8-10 221 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 9- 6 222 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 1- 6 303 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 4- 6 304 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 2- 7 310 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 1-17 328 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 2- 6 328 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 10- 3 329 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 7- 8 428 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 8-10 429 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 2- 5 521 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 14- 2 522 A Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 4- 1 523 H Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 5- 4 529 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 13- 8 530 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 13- 6 530 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 13- 6 531 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 1- 8 601 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A LSU 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.29
214 A LSU 3- 5 -2 -4 1.71
215 A LSU 7-21 -14 -4 --- -10.29
220 H Virginia Tech 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.65
221 A Duke 8-10 -2 -1 -0.80
221 A Duke 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.20
222 A Duke 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.80
303 H Auburn 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.23
304 H Louisiana 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.57
310 A Purdue 1-17 -16 -3 --- -10.95
328 H Butler 2- 6 -4 3 --- -6.78
328 H Butler 10- 3 7 3 ++ 4.22
329 H Butler 7- 8 -1 3 - -3.78
428 A Northwestern 8-10 -2 1 - -2.78
429 H Pittsburgh 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.28
521 H Northern Kentucky 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.88
522 A Wright State 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.83
523 H Wright State 5- 4 1 1 0.48
529 A Auburn 13- 8 5 -6 +++ 10.58
530 H UCF 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.35
530 H UCF 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.35
531 H Auburn 1- 8 -7 -4 - -2.77
601 A Auburn 3- 8 -5 -6 0.58
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A LSU 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.29 215 A LSU 7-21 -14 -4 --- -10.29 310 A Purdue 1-17 -16 -3 --- -10.95 328 H Butler 2- 6 -4 3 --- -6.78 304 H Louisiana 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.57 222 A Duke 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.80 329 H Butler 7- 8 -1 3 - -3.78 428 A Northwestern 8-10 -2 1 - -2.78 531 H Auburn 1- 8 -7 -4 - -2.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 H Northern Kentucky 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.88 529 A Auburn 13- 8 5 -6 +++ 10.58 530 H UCF 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.35 530 H UCF 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.35 221 A Duke 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.20 328 H Butler 10- 3 7 3 ++ 4.22 220 H Virginia Tech 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.65 303 H Auburn 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.23 522 A Wright State 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 5-15 -2.89 15.53 0.68 1.26 -1.39
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 3- 5 -2.89 15.53 0.68 1.26 -1.39
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 7-21 -2.89 15.53 0.68 1.26 -1.39
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 3- 1 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 1.26 33.06
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 8-10 -5.40 13.02 0.68 1.26 -2.97
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 9- 6 -5.40 13.02 0.68 1.26 34.45
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 1- 6 -5.40 13.02 0.68 1.26 -2.97
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 4- 6 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 1.26 -1.07
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 2- 7 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 1.26 -3.46
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 1-17 -3.56 14.87 0.68 1.26 -1.81
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 2- 6 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 1.26 -5.48
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 10- 3 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 1.26 24.44
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 7- 8 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 1.26 -5.48
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 8-10 -7.38 11.04 0.68 1.26 -4.22
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 2- 5 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 1.26 -2.65
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 14- 2 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 1.26 18.55
3 A Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 4- 1 -5.77 12.65 0.68 1.26 33.52
3 H Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 5- 4 -5.77 12.65 -0.68 1.26 30.12
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 13- 8 -1.03 17.40 0.68 1.26 45.46
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 13- 6 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 1.26 34.82
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 13- 6 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 1.26 34.82
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 1- 8 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 1.26 -1.07
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 8 -1.03 17.40 0.68 1.26 -0.22
------
253.66
|
winning pts = 289.2285 losing points = -35.5686
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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